Rules and Following Intuition
How can you tell when that gut feeling is worth following?
and poker have a great deal in common, this poker illustration
will help show the parallels.
just sat down at a limit table, put out a bet and you
are immediately raised. Your intuition says the raiser
may be bluffing, but what action do you take?
aggresive early may be valuable - but what about that
primary rule of intuition: To follow a gut feeling
you must know it's source.
you have never played with the raiser before, are new
to this poker game, and don't know any players, that
gut feeling is probably your lunch talking.
you know a couple of the players at the table, and you've
played many hands with the raiser before, maybe you
should honor the gut feeling and re-raise.
your gut feelings, your responses, and the results in
your journal. You may find you win a big pot a third
of the time you follow that hunch, and lose a few bets
the other two thirds. Your hunches may be overall winners;
against people you know, in surroundings that are familiar.
are hundreds of things surrounding you right now, but
you only notice a few of them at a time. Your sub-conscious
notes everything, but only calls attention to those
things that you have acted on in the past as important.
Intuition can be a summation of many sub-conscious data
points that trigger an alarm loud enough for your conscious
mind to pick up the sound.
that you can decipher the sources of your intuition
may make it worth acting on.
it and check your results.
is true at the poker table, and also is one of many
informal speculation rules.
follow your investment intuition you have to know the
source of that gut feeling.
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